A cautious vig differential analysis of regulated U.S. books, sharp pricing references, hold data, and bettor cost trade-offs.
Performance Metrics
Online Market Depth in Sports Betting Shift
Online market depth analysis of the retail-to-digital sports betting shift, using sourced handle, revenue, access, and risk signals.
Data Techniques
Offshore Sportsbooks and U.S. Spend Data
Offshore sportsbooks still draw U.S. wagering outside regulated markets, affecting tax receipts, market share, and consumer risk signals.
Market Insights
Nebraska Sports Betting Ballot Measure Read
Nebraska Sports Betting measures head to the November 3, 2026 ballot, with key market-access, platform and tax questions unresolved.
Performance Metrics
Prop Bet Expansion: DraftKings and FanDuel Metrics
Prop bet expansion analysis of DraftKings and FanDuel market depth, hold, SGP growth, pricing variation, and integrity constraints.
Betting Strategies
Smarter Player Props with Hierarchical Bayesian Models
In sports betting, old models often fail. They treat each player alone, leading to shaky results. Hierarchical Bayes changes this. It uses smart stats to make better models that show how players really perform. By using partial pooling and shrinkage, bettors can share knowledge. This makes predictions more precise and shows the true skill of […]
Market Insights
Kalshi Sports Wagering Faces Connecticut Test
Kalshi sports wagering dispute in Connecticut raises licensing, market-access, and state-versus-federal regulation issues for bettors.
Market Insights
Nevada Prediction Markets After 9th Circuit
Nevada Prediction Markets face state oversight after the 9th Circuit ruling, affecting access, licensing, and market comparisons.
Analytical Tools
AI Betting Tools Are Multiplying—How Can Bettors Tell Whether a Model Actually Has an Edge?
AI betting tools can generate probabilities, confidence scores, recommended plays, and market alerts in seconds. The harder question is whether those outputs represent a durable edge or simply a polished interface wrapped around a model that has not been tested under real betting conditions. A useful baseline is probability calibration, because a model that says […]
Regulation & jurisdictional access
Regulated Sportsbooks Vs Offshore Market Risk
Regulated sportsbooks are compared with offshore books using revenue, tax-loss, access, and consumer-protection data from current U.S. research.