effective betting sample size

Why 100 Betting Results May Be Far Less Than 100 Independent Tests

A betting model can report 100 predictions, a 60% win rate and an impressive historical return without having produced 100 independent pieces of evidence. When multiple predictions depend on the same games, players or market conditions, their outcomes may be correlated. This creates a problem for anyone evaluating betting-model performance: the number of recorded bets […]

Smartphone Sports Betting Under_Oversight

Who Chose Your Next Bonus? Massachusetts Puts Sportsbook Algorithms Under Scrutiny

A sportsbook bonus might look like a routine marketing offer, but the technology deciding who receives it is facing new scrutiny. Massachusetts regulators want to understand whether sportsbook AI promotions can respond to customers’ losses, deposits and changing betting habits, potentially encouraging more wagering when restraint would be more appropriate. The concern reaches beyond one […]